engine · The Pinnacle Gap
The Sharp Gap
Polymarket is priced by fans; sharp books are priced by professionals running thin margins. Strip the margin from a sharp line and you get a probability estimate closer to true than almost any public price. Where that estimate diverges from Polymarket past the trading fee, the gap is the trade.
// WHY THE DRAW MATTERS HERE
Football's third outcome is where this engine earns its keep. Retail consistently under-bets the draw, especially in tight group games where a point suits both sides. A sharp book prices that correctly; the gap against Polymarket's fan-driven draw price is often the cleanest edge on the board.
// EXPLAINER ONLY — NO NUMBERS YET
PolyCup does not currently carry a live sharp-odds feed, so PolyCup bot shows no fair-value figure for this engine. We will not display an invented edge. When a sharp benchmark is connected, the Sharp Gap will show a real, sourced comparison; until then it is described, not quantified.
See also: Overview · When the Math Breaks · Live picks · Risk